Lee Yunseo
After a whirlwind day in Stuttgart, where we saw gymnasts in the first six subdivisions compete both for recognition at the world level as well as for the chance to compete in Tokyo next year, we bet you’re wondering who’s on track to make it.
The Teams
The top 9 teams not already qualified will be eligible to send a full team to the 2020 Olympic Games.
Rank | Nation | Score |
1 | China | 169.161 |
2 | France | 166.713 |
3 | Canada | 162.922 |
4 | Germany | 161.897 |
5 | Belgium | 161.238 |
6 | Australia | 157.945 |
7 | Ukraine | 156.961 |
8 | South Korea | 156.662 |
9 | North Korea | 153.797 |
10 | Romania | 151.895 |
11 | Czech Republic | 147.639 |
12 | Egypt | 147.163 |
China has already qualified for the Games, and I’d say the four after them — France, Canada, Germany, and Belgium — are safe. Even though we still have another 12 teams competing tomorrow, two of them have already qualified to the Olympics, and only five of these will really be threatening for the top 12.
So that’s three already qualified, four today that are in a good position to qualify, and five tomorrow that have the strongest potential to qualify, bringing us to an even 12. It’s the same 12 that were in the top last year, which is also the same 12 that competed in Rio three years ago, and though there are a few bubble teams, I think it’s going to take a LOT of mistakes for one of these bubble teams to get in.
With Australia as the closest bubble team right now at a 157.945, I just can’t see one of tomorrow’s five expected teams getting below that even on a really bad day. Even a really weak Great Britain broke a 160 last year, and Italy with a mostly B team had a high 156. If a team has a real meltdown, it’s possible that a team like Australia could get in, but so far everything has worked out pretty much exactly as expected, and if the same continues tomorrow, we’ll be looking to add Japan, Brazil, Great Britain, the Netherlands, and Italy to this list.
The All-Arounders
Rank | Athlete | Nation | Score |
1 | Georgia Godwin | Australia | 53.331 |
2 | Diana Varinska | Ukraine | 52.899 |
3 | Lee Yunseo | South Korea | 52.499 |
4 | Danusia Francis | Jamaica | 50.982 |
5 | Kim Su Jong | North Korea | 50.866 |
6 | Aneta Holasova | Czech Republic | 50.766 |
7 | Marcia Vidiaux | Cuba | 50.632 |
8 | Maria Holbura | Romania | 50.632 |
9 | Elisa Hämmerle | Austria | 50.532 |
10 | Anastasiya Alistratava | Belarus | 50.066 |
11 | Mandy Mohamed | Egypt | 49.831 |
12 | Barbora Mokosova | Slovakia | 49.732 |
13 | Filipa Martins | Portugal | 49.698 |
14 | Caitlin Rooskrantz | South Africa | 49.466 |
15 | Jonna Adlerteg | Sweden | 49.099 |
16 | Gabriela Janik | Poland | 48.832 |
17 | Simona Castro | Chile | 48.607 |
18 | Oksana Chusovitina | Uzbekistan | 48.433 |
19 | Ting Hua-Tien | Chinese Taipei | 48.398 |
20 | Marina Nekrasova | Azerbaijan | 48.166 |
21 | Megan Ryan | Ireland | 48.066 |
22 | Maria Kharenkova | Georgia | 47.865 |
23 | Argyro Afrati | Greece | 47.865 |
24 | Adela Sajn | Slovenia | 47.832 |
25 | Irina Sazonova | Iceland | 47.198 |
26 | Milka Gehani | Sri Lanka | 47.016 |
27 | Karelys Diaz | Puerto Rico | 46.966 |
28 | Ana Palacios | Guatemala | 46.598 |
29 | Katriel De Sousa | Venezuela | 45.232 |
30 | Celeste Mordenti | Luxembourg | 45.033 |
31 | Rifda Irfanaluthfi | Indonesia | 44.832 |
32 | Annabel Agba | Nigeria | 43.824 |
33 | Raegan Rutty | Cayman Islands | 43.066 |
34 | Sofia Nair | Algeria | 42.965 |
35 | Camil Betances | Dominican Republic | 36.599 |
Now, I chose to make this list assuming the expected top 12 will be the top 12, but of course, if one of the expected teams ends up floundering tomorrow, this list would change (e.g., if [insert team] doesn’t qualify, their top all-arounder would move onto this list, Godwin would be removed, and Australia would be moved onto the teams that qualified).
We also have to consider that some spots are going to be taken away based on event finals. Right now, for example, vault has Yeo Seo-jeong leading the field and Teja Belak in eighth, and since they won’t qualify on teams or through the all-around in the above list, they would earn Olympic spots if she finishes in the top three among non-full team gymnasts in the vault final. This would add them to the list of individual qualifiers, taking away Agba and Irfanaluthfi…and so on, depending on how many non-team apparatus final gymnasts we end up seeing.
Right now, there are three gymnasts who are definitely out — Rutty, Nair, and Betances — but as I said, we’re also likely to lose at least one more to apparatus finishes.
Based on this, I’d say the top 10 are safe, as in nothing that happens tomorrow will cause them to miss out. There are about 15 gymnasts competing tomorrow that I think will get around a 48 or higher, so I’d go down to 15th place on this list for “super likely,” and then those in about 16th through 24th are going to be hit or miss, depending on what happens tomorrow, and anyone ranked lower than 24th right now is probably not likely to qualify (unless everyone melts down tomorrow because #gymnastics).
One last thing to remember, since Japan is likely to qualify a full team, their host country invitation will get thrown back into the pool of individual all-arounders at world championships. However, this won’t be determined/awarded until next year even though we technically know it’s happening now.
Let’s say Sajn is the last one to make it in, with Sazonova the alternate. Japan then qualifies the full team, opening up a spot for Sazonova, making Gehani the alternate.
Article by Lauren Hopkins
We can’t start 2020 without chuso in it ;(.
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I really hope Chuso is safe in the all around! The Olympics are basically cancelled if shes not there🙁
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Agree, the Games should be literally cancelled then 😦
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Stop the drama with Chusovitina. She is a one-trick poney and haven’t been relevant for almost a decade.
Plus her severe lack of artistry is a BETRAYAL of her Soviet foundations. I say retire already.
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What an ignorant comment.
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I aGREE. Chuso has only consistently made vault finals at the top level of her sport for the last decade. But where’s her recent World/Olympic medal? She should quit. So should every other athlete who only makes finals, but doesn’t medal. In fact, I think everyone in qualifications who is not currently top 3 on an event should give up and retire right now. Medals mean everything and if you don’t medal, you have no place competing at a World Championship. I’m not even sure why we say athletes were 5th, 6th, or 7th place. Anyone who doesn’t medal really should just have IDIOT LOSER tattooed on their forehead to prevent them from every trying again.
PLUS even if Chuso did medal on vault, that’s only ONE event. I think all athletes who have only medaled on one event should retire also. The legacies of Yuri Chechi, Eleftherios Petrounias, McKayla Maroney, and He Kexin should be dumped like toxic waste into an eternal trash bin. Derwael should leave the competition right now and keep her dignity. While Kara Eaker and Brooklyn Moors should be run out of the building in disgrace.
Now I MIGHT be inclined to give Chuso a break on artistry, because, unlike most modern gymnasts, she actually has great body carriage, clean arms and hands, and overall the pleasing lines that remain from early ballet training. But you’re right, she’s not amazingly artistic, which is a huge, unforgiveable betrayal that I just can’t get past. There’s really no option but to try her for treason at this point. Once she’s found guilty and served hard time in a brutal Uzbek prison, she should go put on a pair of yoga pans, and drink too much wine, like a respectable 44 year-olds.
(just having fun with you. you don’t have to like the Chuso love, but that’s some strong dislike you have there)
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She doesn’t care if she doesn’t win medals, she keeps competing because she likes it. And she’s really good at it. Who are you to say she should stop doing something she loves?
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Square44 is joking
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I’m fine with people disliking gymnasts, but telling gymnasts to retire is pretty immature and petty. Let them do what they want while we spectate. You don’t have to watch.
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Lauren, please go to bed and rest, we don’t deserve you. I love you!
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Do you think the Aussie team would have had a better shot if they’d drawn a later subdivision? They were always going to be on the bubble but it appears E scores become slightly more lax as the competition progresses.
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They won of Belgium in a competition in Belgium. But yesterday Belgium was really overscored dragged by Nina that is fantastic on bars, but that’s it. She even got a final in fx with that ridiculous wolf turn nightmare choreo. Overscored like hell. Tumbling of 11 year olds, bad landings . I mean. I think with a fair jury they would have the chance to beat Belgium.
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doesn’t Britain have basically the same team again though
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By name, basically, but they’re a bit stronger this year. Ellie was only just back and not super strong yet in 2018 which makes a huge difference.
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Georgia-Rose Brown is currently 5th on floor. Imagine if Australia qualifies FOUR individuals to Tokyo (Godwin AA Worlds, Brown FX Worlds, Nedov BB World Cup Series, ??? Oceanic Championships) that would be SO GOOD
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Lauren is running on energizer battery.. She just popped in a new set of batteries and ready to go again for another 24 hr 🙂
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i like tokyo
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