Now that worlds is around the corner, one of the biggest questions that comes across our desk on the regular is “who’s going to make it to finals?!”

In the past nine months, nearly a hundred competitions have taken place around the world. We’ve been tracking the results of every last one, and have been able to compile lists of the best scores on each event.

Below are the top 100 scores earned in the all-around and the top 25 scores on all four events in 2015. We’ve included repeats so you can get an idea as to who the most dominant gymnasts are, so these aren’t ‘rankings’ per se, but rather are meant to show where everyone stands when looking at the world picture.

Keep in mind that top scores mean very little at worlds if a gymnast falls, which is why there are always surprises sneaking into the event finals. No one could’ve predicted Larrissa Miller in floor finals last year, for example, so while these top gymnasts can be considered ‘most likely to succeed’ in Glasgow, there are no guarantees. Also, yes, we know all about domestic scoring. But the good thing about domestic scoring is that judges at nearly every domestic meet overscore their gymnasts. It’s impossible to say truly who is ‘the best,’ though when you see a gymnast’s name repeated in the top 20 multiple times, it’s a pretty clear indication as to who should make a final at worlds.

Coming up, we have top averages for each gymnast, as well as the best difficulty and execution scores seen in 2015.

All-Around

45 gymnasts take up the 100 spots in this top score ranking. 15, or one-third, come from the United States, 7 from Japan and Russia, 4 from Romania, 3 from China, 2 from Great Britain and Canada, and 1 each from Italy, Brazil, Mexico, Switzerland, and Guatemala. No one has defeated any of Simone Biles‘ scores this year, and Larisa Iordache is the only non-U.S. gymnast to score above a 59. With only 12 countries represented in the top 100 scores, at least half of the gymnasts in the all-around final will have scores outside of this range.

Vault

The scores here are based on two vault averages. There are 38 vaulters making up the top 100 scores, and they represent a nice mix of countries – 24 to be exact, and China and Russia have the most at 4 each. Simone Biles and Maria Paseka are far ahead of the game, but there are about 15 gymnasts below them who could all contend for the vault final. Note that Hong Un Jong has not competed on vault successfully this year, and as the reigning vault champion, she should definitely factor into the final. Somewhat surprising is the low ranking of the Produnova ladies, aka Dipa Karmakar and Yamilet Peña. Despite their high difficulty, Karmakar has the 37th highest of the year (18th without repeats included) and Pena is all the way down in 75th (34th without repeats). It is unlikely that either will make it to final sit or squat the way they normally do.

Uneven Bars

24 gymnasts scored a 15 or higher on bars this year, which will make for a VERY exciting final, even when factoring in two-per-country. It’s definitely the most competitive event this year if everyone hits in qualifications. 39 gymnasts from 11 countries have the top 100 scores here, with 12 from the U.S., 8 from Russia, 7 from China, 4 from Japan, 2 from Germany, and 1 each from Great Britain, Italy, Romania, Sweden, Switzerland, and Venezuela.

Balance Beam

Of the 100 scores here, we have 46 pretty diverse gymnasts representing, and there’s not one dominant gymnast the way there are on other events. The top five is a pretty great mix, so when looking toward finals, it’s going to be like pretty much every other beam final in history – whoever hits that day will win. 15 countries are represented in the top 100, including 9 from the U.S., 8 from Japan, 6 from Russia, 5 from China, 4 from Romania, 2 from Australia, Canada, and the Netherlands, and 1 each from Brazil, France, Germany, Mexico, Poland, and Switzerland.

Floor Exercise

It’s pretty clear looking at these numbers that floor is easily the lowest-scoring of the four events. Only 6 gymnasts have reached a 15 or above…compare that to the 24 who have done the same on bars! Simone Biles has the top five scores this year, with the rest of the top 10 rounded out by Aly Raisman and Larisa Iordache, which I think is a pretty clear indication of who has the greatest potential to end up on the podium. There are 42 gymnasts from 12 countries represented here, and that includes 9 each from the U.S. and Japan. There are also 5 from Romania, 4 from Russia and Italy, 3 from China, 2 from Brazil and Great Britain, and 1 each from Canada, the Netherlands, Poland, and Switzerland.

Article by Lauren Hopkins